December Rate Cut Odds Jump to 70% After Fed’s John Williams Signals Near-Term Easing
The probability of a December Fed rate cut has surged sharply today, offering a rare boost to the crypto market during its current sell-off. This shift came right after New York Fed President John Williams hinted that a near-term policy adjustment is still possible.
Let’s break down why this matters — and why Bitcoin reacted instantly.
December rate-cut odds rebound to nearly 70%
Fresh data from CME FedWatch shows the odds of a 25-bps rate cut have jumped to about 71%. This is a dramatic rebound considering expectations had plunged earlier this week.
Two major triggers drove the comeback:
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September job data revealed a weakening labor market.
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John Williams’ remarks suggested policy easing may come sooner than expected.
A big reversal, and the market loved it.
John Williams opens the door to near-term easing
Speaking at the Central Bank of Chile Centennial Conference, Williams noted that the Fed still has room to adjust rates toward a more neutral stance — essentially signaling potential rate cuts.
He added that current monetary policy is “modestly restrictive,” meaning there’s space for rates to move lower. This revived hopes of a cut at the December FOMC meeting.
In other words: the Fed is willing to act if economic conditions justify it.
Bitcoin rebounds sharply after the Fed signal
Bitcoin jumped from $82,000 to nearly $83,800 following Williams’ comments. For a market under heavy selling pressure, this was a welcome relief.
Why did BTC react so strongly?
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Lower rates mean more liquidity.
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Risk assets like crypto tend to benefit first.
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BTC reached new ATHs earlier this year right before the Fed cut rates in September and October.
History doesn’t always repeat — but investors are hopeful.
What this means for crypto investors
This environment can easily trigger FOMO, but it also demands caution. Rate-cut expectations can shift quickly, and crypto prices often react even faster.
Practical strategies to consider
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Track U.S. economic data closely.
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Avoid chasing pumps during volatile swings.
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Use DCA for long-term accumulation.
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Focus on strong support zones instead of short-term hype.
Conclusion: Stay patient, disciplined, and long-term focused
The news that December Rate Cut Odds Jump to 70% After Fed’s John Williams Signals Near-Term Easing is encouraging for crypto, but volatility will remain. Patience, discipline, and long-term strategy will always outperform panic.
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