Michael Saylor Says Bitcoin Is Becoming Less Volatile Despite the Crash: Why His Confidence Remains Unshaken

Bitcoin’s recent pullback below $90,000 has reignited debates about its long-term stability. While many analysts point to rising correlations with traditional markets and increased institutional exposure, Michael Saylor — Executive Chairman of Strategy — continues to argue the opposite. According to him, Bitcoin is becoming less volatile, even in the middle of a sharp downturn.

This perspective has fueled both curiosity and controversy across the crypto landscape. But what exactly is driving Saylor’s unwavering confidence?

Source: cointribune

Bitcoin Volatility Is Declining, Saylor Claims

In a recent interview, Saylor dismissed concerns that Wall Street’s entry into the Bitcoin market has worsened volatility. Instead, he insists that institutional involvement has made the Bitcoin market more stable and more liquid.

According to Saylor:

• BTC’s annualized volatility has dropped from 80% in 2020 to around 50% in 2025

• Volatility is expected to fall by another 5 points every few years

• Bitcoin is maturing into a macro asset similar to the S&P 500 — but with superior long-term performance

He predicts Bitcoin will eventually stabilize at a volatility level approximately 1.5× that of the S&P 500, while still delivering 1.5× better returns over time.

These claims contradict analysts who argue that ETFs and institutional portfolios tie Bitcoin more closely to traditional markets. But Saylor maintains that deeper liquidity and professional-grade infrastructure ultimately reduce long-term instability.

Strategy’s Massive BTC Position Reinforces Its Long-Term Bet

Strategy remains the world’s largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, with:

649,870 BTC (~$59.6 billion)

Despite the latest correction, Saylor shows no signs of backing down. In fact, the company recently accelerated its accumulation, purchasing:

8,178 BTC for $835 million

— a 20× increase in weekly buying pace.

Yet the market reaction has been harsh. As Bitcoin slipped nearly 12% in a week, MSTR shares fell 11.5%, and the company’s mNAV ratio dropped from 1.52× to 1.11×, signaling investor caution. Still, Saylor insists Strategy is engineered to withstand even extreme downturns.

Saylor: Strategy Can Survive an 80–90% Bitcoin Crash

One of Saylor’s most striking statements is that Strategy could remain stable even if Bitcoin were to crash:

80% to 90%

According to him, the company’s financial structure — particularly its use of preferred shares and long-term debt strategy — allows it to absorb major drawdowns without diluting shareholders or risking insolvency.

This bold claim highlights his unwavering conviction that Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory outweighs any short-term market turbulence.

Critics Remain Skeptical — But Institutional Momentum Builds

While Saylor continues to double down, several critics are pushing back:

• Peter Brandt warns Strategy could end up “underwater” if Bitcoin enters a bubble-cycle collapse similar to the 1970s soybean market.

• Peter Schiff labels Strategy’s model a “scam,” continuing his anti-BTC stance.

However, institutional developments tell a different story:

• Strategy received a B- rating from S&P

• JPMorgan is exploring BTC-backed lending models

• Spot ETFs are increasing liquidity and deepening market participation

These indicators suggest Bitcoin is gradually becoming more integrated into global financial infrastructure — supporting Saylor’s long-term thesis.

Conclusion: A Defining Moment for Bitcoin’s Future

Bitcoin’s recent volatility has intensified the debate around its future. For Saylor, the decline is a temporary fluctuation within a long-term upward trajectory. His message remains consistent: Bitcoin is maturing, stabilizing, and evolving into a dominant global asset.

Whether the coming months confirm or challenge his thesis, Bitcoin’s transition into a large-scale macro asset is clearly underway — and Strategy’s aggressive accumulation ensures it will remain at the center of that transformation.

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